pwhl projections
resolve pwhl
We rate every team and give each one its chance of winning the Walter Cup. We also track who does the most damage in front of the net, and who stops it.
the ways in
how the calls have held up
what has changed
release notes
2026-06-30
release notes
v1.0: Advanced metrics shipped. Walter Cup outlook live.
2026-06-30
methodology writeups
Two pieces: a team Elo over every PWHL game, Monte-Carlo simulated to Walter Cup probabilities; and a four-metric advanced suite built from coordinate-level play-by-play — high-danger chances defined by where shots actually came from, not box-score rules.
soon
model retrospectives
what we predicted vs. what happened. honest walk-backs included.